Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.699908 11.887540 13.165703 14.645731 16.315003 18.142482 20.298798
2025-08-10 8.550659 10.113710 11.917694 14.162319 16.892260 20.119682 24.246255
2025-08-17 7.077962 8.822928 10.959251 13.786328 17.457686 22.102781 28.486141
2025-08-24 6.046267 7.884359 10.252391 13.559792 18.112086 24.233898 33.218990
2025-08-31 5.300780 7.190109 9.735747 13.465971 18.875976 26.566578 38.561669
2025-09-07 4.828970 6.788813 9.539753 13.753196 20.169287 29.779964 45.665574
2025-09-14 4.333741 6.284799 9.122869 13.642372 20.829077 32.111533 51.770181
2025-09-21 3.878581 5.781261 8.637981 13.348481 21.137357 33.899313 57.242254
2025-09-28 3.537173 5.408358 8.301855 13.231542 21.689630 36.124842 63.793305
2025-10-05 3.364724 5.277320 8.323648 13.688052 23.244878 40.252811 74.474780
2025-10-12 3.201453 5.141452 8.317877 14.087706 24.739428 44.468892 86.070478
2025-10-19 3.004572 4.928803 8.158668 14.192949 25.700829 47.814243 96.516019
2025-10-26 2.772402 4.639712 7.848413 14.005453 26.117882 50.231580 105.632414
2025-11-02 2.557722 4.361803 7.531362 13.769759 26.412409 52.454877 114.798135
2025-11-09 2.365386 4.106336 7.230032 13.529016 26.663856 54.626905 124.305895
2025-11-16 2.204816 3.894186 6.987894 13.375727 27.074018 57.201943 135.335262
2025-11-23 2.072631 3.722866 6.805921 13.321590 27.686336 60.321239 148.420838
2025-11-30 1.994739 3.646880 6.799182 13.627358 29.131677 65.601862 168.423545
2025-12-07 1.878777 3.487507 6.613221 13.529901 29.644072 68.722770 183.214357
2025-12-14 1.753801 3.300321 6.354714 13.245415 29.678714 70.659003 195.051851
2025-12-21 1.657003 3.161512 6.182554 13.133202 30.110051 73.677133 210.863694
2025-12-28 1.620583 3.141965 6.256318 13.588061 32.005289 80.898527 241.742716
2026-01-04 1.580500 3.111404 6.303476 13.985686 33.813236 88.214183 275.028220